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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Wednesday, 4 March 2020

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20200028
  1. 10
  2. 17
  3. 30
  4. 33
  5. 49
  6. 4

Jackpot€3,000,000

The crowdHeld 4% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 1,786 of 3,001 under them

← 2020-03-02All recent draws2020-03-07 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official10 17 30 33 49 + 423 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed10 17 30 33 49 + 429 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 March 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

70oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 70 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 94% of every possible ticket.

  • sum67th
  • odd65th
  • low32th
  • widest gap49th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread71th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 182 of each

10181times
17179times
30176times
33190times
49

Prize breakdown · 2020-03-04

  • Lines in play≈ 3.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.8Mto 615k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 6lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.20

Where the money went

  • rang612%€329.3K
  • rang836%€1.0M
  • rang926%€737.8K
  • 5 other tiers26%€715.6K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.20 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

185times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 179 of each

4179times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,785 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (10, 30, 49) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 6 January 2020 — its closest relative in 1,785 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (2 March 2020): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

139

The numbers add up to 139 — the 67th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

33 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€3,000,000
  • rang24≈ 1.8 by chance€43,514
  • rang343≈ 43 by chance€988
  • rang4364≈ 391 by chance€421
  • rang51,801≈ 1.9k by chance€50.80
  • rang617,064≈ 17k by chance€19.30
  • rang725,435≈ 26k by chance€10.00
  • rang8235,126≈ 235k by chance€4.30
  • rang9335,357€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang5 — 1,801 winners, 3% fewer than the 1.9k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€3,000,000
    rang24€43,514
    rang343€988
    rang4364€421
    rang51,801€50.80
    rang617,064€19.30
    rang725,435€10.00
    rang8235,126€4.30
    rang9335,357€2.20