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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Saturday, 22 February 2020

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20200023
  1. 4
  2. 5
  3. 24
  4. 26
  5. 39
  6. 4

Jackpot€2,000,000

The crowdHeld 5% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 1,781 of 3,001 under them

← 2020-02-19All recent draws2020-02-24 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official4 5 24 26 39 + 423 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed4 5 24 26 39 + 429 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 22 February 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

62oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 62 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 78% of every possible ticket.

  • sum19th
  • odd32th
  • low65th
  • widest gap68th
  • neighbours80th
  • spread53th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 182 of each

4184times
5172times
24176times
26184times
39

Prize breakdown · 2020-02-22

  • Lines in play≈ 5.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€3.8Mto 825k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 6lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.27

Where the money went

  • rang612%€448.0K
  • rang836%€1.4M
  • rang926%€982.8K
  • 5 other tiers26%€979.1K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.27 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

158times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 178 of each

4177times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,780 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (4, 5, 24) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 10 October 2018 — its closest relative in 1,780 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (19 February 2020): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

98

The numbers add up to 98 — the 19th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. Side-by-side numbers: 4–5. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

24 had not appeared for 22 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€2,000,000
  • rang22≈ 2.4 by chance€118,779
  • rang349≈ 59 by chance€1,183
  • rang4383≈ 528 by chance€546
  • rang52,506≈ 2.5k by chance€49.80
  • rang620,549≈ 23k by chance€21.80
  • rang737,195≈ 35k by chance€9.40
  • rang8317,974≈ 318k by chance€4.30
  • rang9446,706€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang4 — 383 winners, 27% fewer than the 528 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€2,000,000
    rang22€118,779
    rang349€1,183
    rang4383€546
    rang52,506€49.80
    rang620,549€21.80
    rang737,195€9.40
    rang8317,974€4.30
    rang9446,706€2.20