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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Wednesday, 22 January 2020

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20200010
  1. 12
  2. 25
  3. 26
  4. 28
  5. 42
  6. 10

Jackpot€5,000,000

The crowdHeld 47% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 1,768 of 3,001 under them

← 2020-01-20All recent draws2020-01-25 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official12 25 26 28 42 + 1023 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed12 25 26 28 42 + 1029 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 22 January 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

56oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 56 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 62% of every possible ticket.

  • sum60th
  • odd9th
  • low32th
  • widest gap35th
  • neighbours80th
  • spread33th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 180 of each

12169times
25170times
26183times
28176times
42

Prize breakdown · 2020-01-22

  • Lines in play≈ 4.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.9Mto 575k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 7lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.22

Where the money went

  • rang613%€365.1K
  • rang839%€1.1M
  • rang921%€587.3K
  • 4 other tiers28%€796.2K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.22 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

160times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 177 of each

10171times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,767 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (12, 25, 26, 42) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 18 August 2012 — its closest relative in 1,767 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 19% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (20 January 2020): 26 carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

133

The numbers add up to 133 — the 59th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. Side-by-side numbers: 25–26. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

28 had not appeared for 22 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€5,000,000
  • rang20≈ 2.0 by chance€193,493
  • rang327≈ 49 by chance€8,916
  • rang4466≈ 441 by chance€366
  • rang51,374≈ 2.1k by chance€74.00
  • rang619,522≈ 19k by chance€18.70
  • rang720,695≈ 30k by chance€13.70
  • rang8265,680≈ 266k by chance€4.20
  • rang9266,933€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang5 — 1,374 winners, 35% fewer than the 2.1k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€5,000,000
    rang20€193,493
    rang327€8,916
    rang4466€366
    rang51,374€74.00
    rang619,522€18.70
    rang720,695€13.70
    rang8265,680€4.20
    rang9266,933€2.20