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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Saturday, 18 January 2020

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20200008
  1. 1
  2. 2
  3. 12
  4. 13
  5. 33
  6. 9

Jackpot€3,000,000

The crowdHeld 31% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 1,766 of 3,001 under them

← 2020-01-15All recent draws2020-01-20 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official1 2 12 13 33 + 923 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed1 2 12 13 33 + 929 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 18 January 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

39oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 39 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 21% of every possible ticket.

  • sum2th
  • odd65th
  • low89th
  • widest gap73th
  • neighbours98th
  • spread41th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 180 of each

1199times
2181times
12168times
13210times
33

Prize breakdown · 2020-01-18

  • Lines in play≈ 6.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€3.9Mto 950k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 7lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.34

Where the money went

  • rang612%€463.1K
  • rang836%€1.4M
  • rang926%€1.0M
  • 4 other tiers26%€1.0M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.34 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

188times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 177 of each

9176times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,765 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (2, 12, 13) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 6 July 2019 — its closest relative in 1,765 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (15 January 2020): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

61

The numbers add up to 61 — the 1th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. Side-by-side numbers: 1–2, 12–13. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

1 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€3,000,000
  • rang20≈ 3.1 by chance€244,955
  • rang366≈ 76 by chance€4,617
  • rang4638≈ 681 by chance€338
  • rang53,104≈ 3.3k by chance€41.50
  • rang630,267≈ 29k by chance€15.30
  • rang743,366≈ 46k by chance€8.30
  • rang8410,164≈ 410k by chance€3.40
  • rang9462,470€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈6.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang4 — 638 winners, 6% fewer than the 681 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€3,000,000
    rang20€244,955
    rang366€4,617
    rang4638€338
    rang53,104€41.50
    rang630,267€15.30
    rang743,366€8.30
    rang8410,164€3.40
    rang9462,470€2.20