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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Saturday, 4 January 2020

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20200002
  1. 9
  2. 22
  3. 31
  4. 34
  5. 43
  6. 5

Jackpot€2,000,000

The crowdHeld 22% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 1,760 of 3,001 under them

← 2020-01-01All recent draws2020-01-06 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official9 22 31 34 43 + 523 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed9 22 31 34 43 + 529 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 January 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

70oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 70 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 94% of every possible ticket.

  • sum67th
  • odd65th
  • low32th
  • widest gap28th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread49th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 179 of each

9178times
22199times
31175times
34171times
43

Prize breakdown · 2020-01-04

  • Lines in play≈ 4.7Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€3.9Mto 919k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 5lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.25

Where the money went

  • rang611%€433.7K
  • rang834%€1.3M
  • rang931%€1.2M
  • 5 other tiers24%€946.6K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.25 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

187times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 176 of each

5193times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,759 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (9, 22, 34, 43) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 8 September 2012 — its closest relative in 1,759 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 18% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (1 January 2020): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

139

The numbers add up to 139 — the 67th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

43 had not appeared for 25 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€2,000,000
  • rang21≈ 2.2 by chance€229,637
  • rang375≈ 54 by chance€747
  • rang4576≈ 489 by chance€351
  • rang52,845≈ 2.3k by chance€42.40
  • rang621,053≈ 21k by chance€20.60
  • rang738,430≈ 33k by chance€8.80
  • rang8294,523≈ 295k by chance€4.50
  • rang9561,000€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang5 — 2,845 winners, 22% more than the 2.3k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€2,000,000
    rang21€229,637
    rang375€747
    rang4576€351
    rang52,845€42.40
    rang621,053€20.60
    rang738,430€8.80
    rang8294,523€4.50
    rang9561,000€2.20