Monday, 2 September 2019

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (2, 6, 21) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 21 October 2017 — its closest relative in 1,707 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (31 August 2019): 21 carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 4 repeated (10% expected).

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 106 — the 27th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

44 had not appeared for 18 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.