Saturday, 8 June 2013

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (19, 29, 33) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 23 May 2011 — its closest relative in 731 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (5 June 2013): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 130 — the 56th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. Side-by-side numbers: 32–33. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

33 had not appeared for 24 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.