Monday, 8 April 2013

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (6, 8, 37) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 17 November 2012 — its closest relative in 705 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 97% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (6 April 2013): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 108 — the 29th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. Side-by-side numbers: 37–38. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

19 had not appeared for 21 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.