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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Eurojackpot · draw
ResultEurojackpot
Jackpot€44,000,000
The crowdHeld 12% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/10 · Oct 2014 – Mar 2022draw 355 of 389 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
Eurojackpot was a 5/50 + 2/10 · Oct 2014 – Mar 2022 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 354 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 23 July 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 50 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 43% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 35 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 354 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (13, 33, 42) and 1 of 2 stars with the draw of 20 July 2018 — its closest relative in 354 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 82% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (16 July 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 9 repeated (38% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 186 — the 97th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →42 had not appeared for 10 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.3× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 24% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈28M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 1,471 winners, 21% fewer than the 1.9k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 593,819 | €8.10 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 220,694 | €9.00 |
| Match 3 | 69,243 | €15.80 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 42,847 | €18.40 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 41,531 | €18.40 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 2,982 | €51.20 |
| Match 4 | 1,471 | €121 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 896 | €256 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 73 | €3,490 |
| Match 5 | 5 | €152,850 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 4 | €541,344 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | €44,000,000 |