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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Eurojackpot · draw
ResultEurojackpot
Jackpot€40,420,094
The crowdHeld 16% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/10 · Oct 2014 – Mar 2022draw 64 of 389 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
Eurojackpot was a 5/50 + 2/10 · Oct 2014 – Mar 2022 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 63 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 25 December 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 50 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 42% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 6 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 63 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (8, 33, 34) and 1 of 2 stars with the draw of 28 August 2015 — its closest relative in 63 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 26% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (18 December 2015): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 9 repeated (38% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 120 — the 40th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 8–9, 33–34. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →33 had not appeared for 17 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈21M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 plus Bonus Ball — 525 winners, 34% fewer than the 798 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 421,684 | €7.60 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 165,066 | €8.00 |
| Match 3 | 43,990 | €16.60 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 32,091 | €17.70 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 26,164 | €17.70 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1,867 | €54.60 |
| Match 4 | 964 | €123 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 525 | €291 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 35 | €4,856 |
| Match 5 | 3 | €169,944 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 3 | €481,507 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | €40,420,094 |