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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Eurojackpot · draw
ResultEurojackpot
Jackpot€18,000,000
The crowdHeld 11% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/10 · Oct 2014 – Mar 2022draw 45 of 389 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
Eurojackpot was a 5/50 + 2/10 · Oct 2014 – Mar 2022 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 44 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 14 August 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 48 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 38% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 4 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 44 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 2 of 5 numbers (1, 41) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 3 July 2015 — its closest relative in 44 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 96% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (7 August 2015): 1 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (38% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 104 — the 22th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 27–28. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →7 had not appeared for 26 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.5× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈15M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 697 winners, 29% fewer than the 977 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 313,173 | €7.70 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 115,476 | €8.50 |
| Match 3 | 36,625 | €14.80 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 21,543 | €18.20 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 20,580 | €18.20 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1,341 | €56.50 |
| Match 4 | 697 | €127 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 406 | €280 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 26 | €4,857 |
| Match 5 | 1 | €363,053 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 3 | €363,053 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | €18,000,000 |