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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Eurojackpot · draw
ResultEurojackpot
Jackpot€31,000,000
The crowdHeld 11% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/8 · Mar 2012 – Oct 2014draw 126 of 133 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
Eurojackpot was a 5/50 + 2/8 · Mar 2012 – Oct 2014 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 125 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 August 2014 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 37 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 17% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 13 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 125 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 2 of 5 numbers (38, 47) and 1 of 2 stars with the draw of 1 August 2014 — its closest relative in 125 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (8 August 2014): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 4 repeated (46% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 186 — the 97th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →17 had not appeared for 11 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.4× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 19% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈12M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls — 20,643 winners, 28% fewer than the 29k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 306,222 | €8.90 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 150,857 | €9.50 |
| Match 3 | 27,315 | €15.40 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 20,643 | €23.70 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 27,242 | €15.40 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1,810 | €56.20 |
| Match 4 | 548 | €131 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 396 | €287 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 48 | €2,995 |
| Match 5 | 3 | €51,908 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 3 | €199,646 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | €31,000,000 |