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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Bonoloto · draw
ResultBonoloto
Jackpot€400,000
The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 4,830 of 4,830 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 16 Sept 2026, 20:50 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 16 September 2026 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 58 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 66% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 591 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 4,829 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 6 numbers (5, 7, 28) with the draw of 6 August 2026 — its closest relative in 4,829 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (15 September 2026): 38 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 108 — the 10th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 28–29. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →1 had not appeared for 24 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 31% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈5.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 4,722 winners, 10% fewer than the 5.2k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0 | €0.00 |
| 5+C | 1 | €138,826 |
| 5 | 76 | €913 |
| 4 | 4,722 | €22.05 |
| 3 | 87,867 | €4.00 |
| R | 465,204 | €0.50 |