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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Wednesday, 16 July 2025

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 12
  2. 22
  3. 34
  4. 38
  5. 40
  6. 49
  7. 9
  8. 23

Jackpot€600,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 4,407 of 4,854 under them

← 2025-07-15All recent draws2025-07-17 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed12 22 34 38 40 49 + 9 2329 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 16 July 2025 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

44oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 44 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 30% of every possible ticket.

  • sum91th
  • odd5th
  • low20th
  • widest gap26th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread52th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 540 of each

12514times
22543times
34543times
38526times
40

Prize breakdown · 2025-07-16

  • Lines in play≈ 4.7Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€897.5Kto 563k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 8lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.34

Where the money went

  • 526%€233.6K
  • 334%€305.9K
  • R27%€241.2K
  • 1 other tier13%€116.8K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10kPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.34 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

576times
49557times

Every number was expected about that many times after 4,406 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (22, 38, 40, 49) with the draw of 14 February 2025 — its closest relative in 4,406 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (15 July 2025): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

195

The numbers add up to 195 — the 91th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

34 had not appeared for 25 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 51% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
0≈ 4.0 by chance
no winners
  • 587≈ 83 by chance€2,685
  • 44,015≈ 4.6k by chance€29.09
  • 376,475≈ 83k by chance€4.00
  • R482,414€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 4,015 winners, 12% fewer than the 4.6k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C0€0.00
    587€2,685
    44,015€29.09
    376,475€4.00
    R482,414€0.50