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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Sunday, 4 May 2025

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 18
  2. 31
  3. 40
  4. 44
  5. 45
  6. 46
  7. 3
  8. 4

Jackpot€1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 4,334 of 4,854 under them

← 2025-05-03All recent draws2025-05-05 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed18 31 40 44 45 46 + 3 429 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 May 2025 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

27oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 27 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 6% of every possible ticket.

  • sum99th
  • odd20th
  • low5th
  • widest gap33th
  • neighbours94th
  • spread16th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 531 of each

18542times
31540times
40569times
44521times
45

Prize breakdown · 2025-05-04

  • Lines in play≈ 3.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€697.8Kto 436k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 8lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.25

Where the money went

  • 5+C18%€124.6K
  • 333%€229.6K
  • R27%€187.9K
  • 2 other tiers22%€155.7K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.25 by chanceno winners

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

549times
46543times

Every number was expected about that many times after 4,333 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (31, 40, 44, 46) with the draw of 15 July 2023 — its closest relative in 4,333 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (3 May 2025): 40 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

224

The numbers add up to 224 — the 99th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 44–45, 45–46. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

44 had not appeared for 51 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 52% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
  • 5+C1≈ 3.0 by chance€124,586
  • 543≈ 62 by chance€1,449
  • 43,134≈ 3.4k by chance€29.81
  • 357,400≈ 62k by chance€4.00
  • R375,724€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 3,134 winners, 8% fewer than the 3.4k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C1€124,586
    543€1,449
    43,134€29.81
    357,400€4.00
    R375,724€0.50