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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Saturday, 21 December 2024

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 7
  3. 23
  4. 32
  5. 39
  6. 41
  7. 2
  8. 28

Jackpot€400,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 4,200 of 4,857 under them

← 2024-12-20All recent draws2024-12-22 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 7 23 32 39 41 + 2 2829 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 December 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

73oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 73 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 94% of every possible ticket.

  • sum43th
  • odd77th
  • low48th
  • widest gap58th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread62th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 514 of each

2517times
7489times
23498times
32524times
39

Prize breakdown · 2024-12-21

  • Lines in play≈ 4.7Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€845.5Kto 531k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 9lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.34

Where the money went

  • 5+C16%€139.3K
  • 336%€306.9K
  • R27%€225.1K
  • 2 other tiers21%€174.2K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.34 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

529times
41515times

Every number was expected about that many times after 4,199 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (2, 7, 32, 39) with the draw of 27 October 2021 — its closest relative in 4,199 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (20 December 2024): 7 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

144

The numbers add up to 144 — the 42th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

2 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 38% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
2≈ 4.1 by chance
€69,672
  • 575≈ 83 by chance€929
  • 44,086≈ 4.6k by chance€25.58
  • 376,720≈ 83k by chance€4.00
  • R450,267€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 4,086 winners, 11% fewer than the 4.6k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C2€69,672
    575€929
    44,086€25.58
    376,720€4.00
    R450,267€0.50