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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Saturday, 14 December 2024

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 11
  2. 15
  3. 16
  4. 17
  5. 24
  6. 32
  7. 3
  8. 3

Jackpot€1,100,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 4,193 of 4,852 under them

← 2024-12-13All recent draws2024-12-15 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed11 15 16 17 24 32 + 3 329 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 14 December 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

28oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 28 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 7% of every possible ticket.

  • sum15th
  • odd48th
  • low94th
  • widest gap5th
  • neighbours94th
  • spread4th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 513 of each

11501times
15498times
16537times
17479times
24

Prize breakdown · 2024-12-14

  • Lines in play≈ 5.7Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€943.4Kto 589k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 10lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.40

Where the money went

  • 5+C16%€146.6K
  • 339%€367.8K
  • R26%€245.8K
  • 2 other tiers19%€183.2K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.40 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

521times
32522times

Every number was expected about that many times after 4,192 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (15, 16, 17, 32) with the draw of 14 April 2023 — its closest relative in 4,192 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (13 December 2024): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

115

The numbers add up to 115 — the 14th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 15–16, 16–17. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

16 had not appeared for 17 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 39% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
2≈ 4.9 by chance
€73,300
  • 582≈ 100 by chance€894
  • 45,120≈ 5.5k by chance€21.47
  • 391,951≈ 100k by chance€4.00
  • R491,507€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 91,951 winners, 8% fewer than the 100k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C2€73,300
    582€894
    45,120€21.47
    391,951€4.00
    R491,507€0.50