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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Wednesday, 11 December 2024

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 5
  3. 17
  4. 23
  5. 33
  6. 43
  7. 4
  8. 48

Jackpot€2,100,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 4,190 of 4,857 under them

← 2024-12-10All recent draws2024-12-12 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 5 17 23 33 43 + 4 4829 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 December 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

43oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 43 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 28% of every possible ticket.

  • sum22th
  • odd99th
  • low77th
  • widest gap26th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread67th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 513 of each

3504times
5503times
17478times
23497times
33

Prize breakdown · 2024-12-11

  • Lines in play≈ 7.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€3.5Mto 714k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 10lines took a prize
  • 61 winnerchance said 0.51

Where the money went

  • 667%€2.3M
  • 313%€466.2K
  • R8.4%€293.7K
  • 3 other tiers11%€390.3K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. 61≈ 0.51 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

529times
43480times

Every number was expected about that many times after 4,189 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (3, 17, 33, 43) with the draw of 9 July 2023 — its closest relative in 4,189 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (10 December 2024): 5 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

124

The numbers add up to 124 — the 21th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

17 had not appeared for 11 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 41% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€2,342,244
  • 5+C1≈ 6.2 by chance€173,473
  • 5234≈ 126 by chance€371
  • 49,278≈ 6.9k by chance€14.02
  • 3116,546≈ 127k by chance€4.00
  • R587,487€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈7.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 9,278 winners, 34% more than the 6.9k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    61€2,342,244
    5+C1€173,473
    5234€371
    49,278€14.02
    3116,546€4.00
    R587,487€0.50