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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Tuesday, 3 December 2024

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 15
  2. 28
  3. 34
  4. 38
  5. 39
  6. 44
  7. 4
  8. 9

Jackpot€900,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 4,182 of 4,857 under them

← 2024-12-02All recent draws2024-12-04 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed15 28 34 38 39 44 + 4 929 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 3 December 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

38oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 38 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 19% of every possible ticket.

  • sum93th
  • odd20th
  • low5th
  • widest gap33th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread19th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 512 of each

15495times
28511times
34517times
38497times
39

Prize breakdown · 2024-12-03

  • Lines in play≈ 4.7Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2Mto 574k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 8lines took a prize
  • 61 winnerchance said 0.34

Where the money went

  • 655%€1.1M
  • 315%€308.2K
  • R12%€246.3K
  • 3 other tiers18%€360.6K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. 61≈ 0.34 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

526times
44506times

Every number was expected about that many times after 4,181 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (15, 28, 38, 39) with the draw of 11 September 2024 — its closest relative in 4,181 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (2 December 2024): 28, 34 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

198

The numbers add up to 198 — the 92th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 38–39. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

39 had not appeared for 24 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 50% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€1,121,488
  • 5+C1≈ 4.1 by chance€160,288
  • 578≈ 83 by chance€1,027
  • 44,011≈ 4.6k by chance€29.97
  • 377,058≈ 84k by chance€4.00
  • R492,523€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 4,011 winners, 13% fewer than the 4.6k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    61€1,121,488
    5+C1€160,288
    578€1,027
    44,011€29.97
    377,058€4.00
    R492,523€0.50