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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Monday, 4 November 2024

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 9
  2. 10
  3. 15
  4. 18
  5. 19
  6. 45
  7. 3
  8. 8

Jackpot€900,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 4,153 of 4,855 under them

← 2024-11-03All recent draws2024-11-05 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed9 10 15 18 19 45 + 3 829 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 November 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

34oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 34 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 12% of every possible ticket.

  • sum15th
  • odd77th
  • low94th
  • widest gap96th
  • neighbours94th
  • spread47th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 508 of each

9505times
10538times
15493times
18520times
19

Prize breakdown · 2024-11-04

  • Lines in play≈ 5.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.9Mto 535k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 10lines took a prize
  • 61 winnerchance said 0.37

Where the money went

  • 655%€1.1M
  • 318%€334.6K
  • R12%€223.5K
  • 3 other tiers16%€302.6K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. 61≈ 0.37 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

509times
45532times

Every number was expected about that many times after 4,152 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (10, 18, 19, 45) with the draw of 11 May 2024 — its closest relative in 4,152 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (3 November 2024): 18 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

116

The numbers add up to 116 — the 15th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 9–10, 18–19. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

19 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 40% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€1,050,843
  • 5+C2≈ 4.4 by chance€67,246
  • 574≈ 91 by chance€909
  • 44,384≈ 5.0k by chance€23.01
  • 383,647≈ 91k by chance€4.00
  • R447,012€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 4,384 winners, 12% fewer than the 5.0k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    61€1,050,843
    5+C2€67,246
    574€909
    44,384€23.01
    383,647€4.00
    R447,012€0.50