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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Wednesday, 16 October 2024

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 7
  3. 16
  4. 31
  5. 43
  6. 44
  7. 9
  8. 14

Jackpot€1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 4,134 of 4,856 under them

← 2024-10-15All recent draws2024-10-17 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 7 16 31 43 44 + 9 1429 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 16 October 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

70oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 70 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 90% of every possible ticket.

  • sum41th
  • odd77th
  • low48th
  • widest gap50th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread82th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 506 of each

1510times
7479times
16531times
31512times
43

Prize breakdown · 2024-10-16

  • Lines in play≈ 5.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.2Mto 625k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 9lines took a prize
  • 61 winnerchance said 0.42

Where the money went

  • 654%€1.2M
  • 317%€377.9K
  • R12%€262.7K
  • 3 other tiers16%€361.0K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. 61≈ 0.42 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

474times
44497times

Every number was expected about that many times after 4,133 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (1, 16, 43, 44) with the draw of 7 February 2017 — its closest relative in 4,133 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (15 October 2024): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

142

The numbers add up to 142 — the 40th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 43–44. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

7 had not appeared for 18 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 35% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€1,187,797
  • 5+C2≈ 5.0 by chance€80,215
  • 576≈ 102 by chance€1,055
  • 45,315≈ 5.6k by chance€22.64
  • 394,463≈ 103k by chance€4.00
  • R525,323€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 94,463 winners, 8% fewer than the 103k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    61€1,187,797
    5+C2€80,215
    576€1,055
    45,315€22.64
    394,463€4.00
    R525,323€0.50