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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Friday, 4 October 2024

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 11
  2. 12
  3. 14
  4. 24
  5. 44
  6. 45
  7. 1
  8. 2

Jackpot€1,800,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 4,122 of 4,855 under them

← 2024-10-03All recent draws2024-10-05 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed11 12 14 24 44 45 + 1 229 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 October 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

52oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 52 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 48% of every possible ticket.

  • sum50th
  • odd20th
  • low77th
  • widest gap81th
  • neighbours94th
  • spread37th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 505 of each

11490times
12484times
14484times
24517times
44

Prize breakdown · 2024-10-04

  • Lines in play≈ 6.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€3.2Mto 685k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 9lines took a prize
  • 62 winnerschance said 0.45

Where the money went

  • 665%€2.1M
  • 313%€411.9K
  • R9.1%€288.3K
  • 3 other tiers13%€399.0K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. 62≈ 0.45 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

496times
45529times

Every number was expected about that many times after 4,121 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (11, 24, 44, 45) with the draw of 30 August 2022 — its closest relative in 4,121 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (3 October 2024): 44 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

150

The numbers add up to 150 — the 49th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 11–12, 44–45. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

24 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 41% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€1,032,585
  • 5+C4≈ 5.4 by chance€44,330
  • 596≈ 111 by chance€924
  • 45,689≈ 6.1k by chance€23.38
  • 3102,979≈ 112k by chance€4.00
  • R576,635€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈6.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 102,979 winners, 8% fewer than the 112k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    62€1,032,585
    5+C4€44,330
    596€924
    45,689€23.38
    3102,979€4.00
    R576,635€0.50