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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Tuesday, 1 October 2024

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 3
  3. 5
  4. 11
  5. 21
  6. 47
  7. 9
  8. 15

Jackpot€600,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 4,119 of 4,858 under them

← 2024-09-30All recent draws2024-10-02 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 3 5 11 21 47 + 9 1529 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 1 October 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

15oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 15 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 1% of every possible ticket.

  • sum3th
  • odd99th
  • low94th
  • widest gap96th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread95th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 504 of each

1508times
3497times
5497times
11488times
21

Prize breakdown · 2024-10-01

  • Lines in play≈ 6.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€916Kto 567k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 11lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.44

Where the money went

  • 521%€192.2K
  • 343%€396.8K
  • R25%€230.9K
  • 1 other tier10%€96.1K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10kPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.44 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

504times
47512times

Every number was expected about that many times after 4,118 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (1, 3, 11, 21) with the draw of 16 September 2022 — its closest relative in 4,118 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (30 September 2024): 5, 21 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

88

The numbers add up to 88 — the 3th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

3 had not appeared for 10 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 35% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
0≈ 5.2 by chance
no winners
  • 5111≈ 107 by chance€1,731
  • 46,220≈ 5.9k by chance€15.45
  • 399,211≈ 108k by chance€4.00
  • R461,750€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈6.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 99,211 winners, 8% fewer than the 108k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C0€0.00
    5111€1,731
    46,220€15.45
    399,211€4.00
    R461,750€0.50