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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Sunday, 15 September 2024

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 8
  3. 34
  4. 36
  5. 38
  6. 49
  7. 3
  8. 30

Jackpot€400,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 4,103 of 4,859 under them

← 2024-09-14All recent draws2024-09-16 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 8 34 36 38 49 + 3 3029 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 September 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

35oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 35 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 14% of every possible ticket.

  • sum70th
  • odd20th
  • low20th
  • widest gap96th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread95th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 502 of each

3494times
8489times
34505times
36534times
38

Prize breakdown · 2024-09-15

  • Lines in play≈ 3.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€665.9Kto 415k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 9lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.26

Where the money went

  • 5+C17%€112.2K
  • 336%€236.8K
  • R27%€176.6K
  • 2 other tiers21%€140.3K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.26 by chanceno winners

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

487times
49516times

Every number was expected about that many times after 4,102 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (3, 8, 38, 49) with the draw of 9 July 2021 — its closest relative in 4,102 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (14 September 2024): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

168

The numbers add up to 168 — the 70th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

34 had not appeared for 7 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 46% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
  • 5+C1≈ 3.1 by chance€112,209
  • 564≈ 64 by chance€877
  • 43,027≈ 3.5k by chance€27.80
  • 359,203≈ 64k by chance€4.00
  • R353,158€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 3,027 winners, 14% fewer than the 3.5k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C1€112,209
    564€877
    43,027€27.80
    359,203€4.00
    R353,158€0.50