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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Thursday, 12 September 2024

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 5
  2. 6
  3. 8
  4. 17
  5. 33
  6. 36
  7. 3
  8. 28

Jackpot€1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 4,100 of 4,859 under them

← 2024-09-11All recent draws2024-09-13 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed5 6 8 17 33 36 + 3 2829 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 12 September 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

59oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 59 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 68% of every possible ticket.

  • sum9th
  • odd48th
  • low77th
  • widest gap58th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread25th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 502 of each

5495times
6488times
8488times
17468times
33

Prize breakdown · 2024-09-12

  • Lines in play≈ 5.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€954.1Kto 594k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 10lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.41

Where the money went

  • 5+C15%€146.7K
  • 339%€376.2K
  • R26%€247.8K
  • 2 other tiers19%€183.4K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.41 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

518times
36533times

Every number was expected about that many times after 4,099 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (5, 8, 17, 36) with the draw of 3 May 2023 — its closest relative in 4,099 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (11 September 2024): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

105

The numbers add up to 105 — the 8th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 5–6. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

36 had not appeared for 18 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 39% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
2≈ 5.0 by chance
€73,368
  • 575≈ 102 by chance€978
  • 44,819≈ 5.6k by chance€22.84
  • 394,042≈ 102k by chance€4.00
  • R495,523€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 4,819 winners, 14% fewer than the 5.6k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C2€73,368
    575€978
    44,819€22.84
    394,042€4.00
    R495,523€0.50