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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Tuesday, 10 September 2024

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 8
  3. 40
  4. 42
  5. 43
  6. 49
  7. 2
  8. 38

Jackpot€400,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 4,098 of 4,858 under them

← 2024-09-09All recent draws2024-09-11 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 8 40 42 43 49 + 2 3829 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 10 September 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

40oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 40 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 21% of every possible ticket.

  • sum85th
  • odd48th
  • low20th
  • widest gap99th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread95th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 502 of each

3493times
8487times
40532times
42500times
43

Prize breakdown · 2024-09-10

  • Lines in play≈ 4.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€808.5Kto 505k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 9lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.31

Where the money went

  • 525%€205.9K
  • 335%€284.6K
  • R27%€215K
  • 1 other tier13%€103K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10kPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.31 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

469times
49515times

Every number was expected about that many times after 4,097 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (3, 8, 43, 49) with the draw of 10 August 2024 — its closest relative in 4,097 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (9 September 2024): 3 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

185

The numbers add up to 185 — the 85th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 42–43. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

40 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 48% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
0≈ 3.8 by chance
no winners
  • 571≈ 77 by chance€2,900
  • 43,598≈ 4.2k by chance€28.62
  • 371,157≈ 77k by chance€4.00
  • R429,999€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 3,598 winners, 15% fewer than the 4.2k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C0€0.00
    571€2,900
    43,598€28.62
    371,157€4.00
    R429,999€0.50