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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Monday, 26 August 2024

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 9
  3. 10
  4. 22
  5. 23
  6. 45
  7. 6
  8. 14

Jackpot€1,200,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 4,083 of 4,858 under them

← 2024-08-25All recent draws2024-08-27 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 9 10 22 23 45 + 6 1429 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 26 August 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

27oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 27 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 6% of every possible ticket.

  • sum13th
  • odd77th
  • low94th
  • widest gap88th
  • neighbours94th
  • spread78th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 500 of each

3491times
9498times
10529times
22499times
23

Prize breakdown · 2024-08-26

  • Lines in play≈ 5.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.3Mto 559k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 10lines took a prize
  • 61 winnerchance said 0.40

Where the money went

  • 661%€1.4M
  • 316%€363.7K
  • R10%€231.7K
  • 3 other tiers13%€303.8K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. 61≈ 0.40 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

487times
45525times

Every number was expected about that many times after 4,082 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (3, 22, 23, 45) with the draw of 17 January 2023 — its closest relative in 4,082 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (25 August 2024): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

112

The numbers add up to 112 — the 12th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 9–10, 22–23. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

9 had not appeared for 24 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 38% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€1,412,918
  • 5+C1≈ 4.8 by chance€134,995
  • 596≈ 98 by chance€703
  • 44,935≈ 5.4k by chance€20.52
  • 390,914≈ 99k by chance€4.00
  • R463,318€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 4,935 winners, 9% fewer than the 5.4k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    61€1,412,918
    5+C1€134,995
    596€703
    44,935€20.52
    390,914€4.00
    R463,318€0.50