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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Thursday, 22 August 2024

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 2
  3. 4
  4. 16
  5. 21
  6. 48
  7. 8
  8. 43

Jackpot€2,900,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 4,079 of 4,857 under them

← 2024-08-21All recent draws2024-08-23 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 2 4 16 21 48 + 8 4329 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 22 August 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

22oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 22 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 3% of every possible ticket.

  • sum4th
  • odd20th
  • low94th
  • widest gap97th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread98th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 499 of each

1503times
2499times
4479times
16524times
21

Prize breakdown · 2024-08-22

  • Lines in play≈ 6.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€4.1Mto 647k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 10lines took a prize
  • 61 winnerchance said 0.44

Where the money went

  • 675%€3.1M
  • 310%€402.5K
  • R6.5%€270.4K
  • 3 other tiers9.0%€371.3K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. 61≈ 0.44 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

500times
48499times

Every number was expected about that many times after 4,078 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (2, 4, 16, 21) with the draw of 9 August 2023 — its closest relative in 4,078 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (21 August 2024): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

92

The numbers add up to 92 — the 4th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 1–2. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

21 had not appeared for 24 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 37% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€3,086,861
  • 5+C2≈ 5.3 by chance€82,506
  • 588≈ 109 by chance€938
  • 45,555≈ 6.0k by chance€22.28
  • 3100,627≈ 109k by chance€4.00
  • R540,820€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈6.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 100,627 winners, 8% fewer than the 109k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    61€3,086,861
    5+C2€82,506
    588€938
    45,555€22.28
    3100,627€4.00
    R540,820€0.50