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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Monday, 19 August 2024

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 5
  3. 10
  4. 20
  5. 42
  6. 46
  7. 8
  8. 25

Jackpot€1,500,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 4,076 of 4,854 under them

← 2024-08-18All recent draws2024-08-20 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 5 10 20 42 46 + 8 2529 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 19 August 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

34oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 34 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 12% of every possible ticket.

  • sum23th
  • odd5th
  • low77th
  • widest gap88th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread87th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 499 of each

2498times
5489times
10526times
20518times
42

Prize breakdown · 2024-08-19

  • Lines in play≈ 5.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€860.9Kto 538k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 9lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.36

Where the money went

  • 5+C16%€136.9K
  • 338%€327.0K
  • R26%€225.9K
  • 2 other tiers20%€171.1K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.36 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

497times
46515times

Every number was expected about that many times after 4,075 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (2, 5, 20, 42) with the draw of 15 July 2024 — its closest relative in 4,075 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (18 August 2024): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

125

The numbers add up to 125 — the 22th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

2 had not appeared for 30 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 45% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
2≈ 4.3 by chance
€68,458
  • 581≈ 88 by chance€845
  • 44,615≈ 4.9k by chance€22.25
  • 381,743≈ 89k by chance€4.00
  • R451,716€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 81,743 winners, 8% fewer than the 89k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C2€68,458
    581€845
    44,615€22.25
    381,743€4.00
    R451,716€0.50