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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Friday, 16 August 2024

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 4
  3. 31
  4. 38
  5. 43
  6. 47
  7. 2
  8. 6

Jackpot€400,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 4,073 of 4,854 under them

← 2024-08-15All recent draws2024-08-17 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 4 31 38 43 47 + 2 629 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 16 August 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

40oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 40 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 22% of every possible ticket.

  • sum68th
  • odd77th
  • low20th
  • widest gap97th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread87th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 499 of each

3489times
4478times
31507times
38480times
43

Prize breakdown · 2024-08-16

  • Lines in play≈ 4.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€855.9Kto 536k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 9lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.33

Where the money went

  • 5+C17%€146.3K
  • 335%€297.7K
  • R27%€229.1K
  • 2 other tiers21%€182.9K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.33 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

467times
47508times

Every number was expected about that many times after 4,072 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (4, 31, 38, 43) with the draw of 12 May 2024 — its closest relative in 4,072 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (15 August 2024): 38, 43 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

166

The numbers add up to 166 — the 68th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 3–4. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

31 had not appeared for 27 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 44% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
2≈ 3.9 by chance
€73,141
  • 558≈ 81 by chance€1,261
  • 43,713≈ 4.4k by chance€29.55
  • 374,413≈ 81k by chance€4.00
  • R458,216€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 3,713 winners, 16% fewer than the 4.4k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C2€73,141
    558€1,261
    43,713€29.55
    374,413€4.00
    R458,216€0.50