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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Tuesday, 23 July 2024

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 3
  3. 8
  4. 20
  5. 29
  6. 48
  7. 9
  8. 40

Jackpot€900,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 4,049 of 4,854 under them

← 2024-07-22All recent draws2024-07-24 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 3 8 20 29 48 + 9 4029 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 23 July 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

44oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 44 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 30% of every possible ticket.

  • sum11th
  • odd48th
  • low77th
  • widest gap76th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread98th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 496 of each

1499times
3482times
8483times
20510times
29

Prize breakdown · 2024-07-23

  • Lines in play≈ 5.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.9Mto 545k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 9lines took a prize
  • 61 winnerchance said 0.36

Where the money went

  • 654%€1.0M
  • 317%€331.5K
  • R12%€229.1K
  • 3 other tiers16%€315.0K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. 61≈ 0.36 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

440times
48492times

Every number was expected about that many times after 4,048 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 5 of 6 numbers (1, 8, 20, 29, 48) with the draw of 25 September 2023 — its closest relative in 4,048 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 7.2% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (22 July 2024): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

109

The numbers add up to 109 — the 11th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

20 had not appeared for 8 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 38% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€1,043,309
  • 5+C3≈ 4.4 by chance€46,667
  • 589≈ 90 by chance€787
  • 44,209≈ 4.9k by chance€24.95
  • 382,870≈ 90k by chance€4.00
  • R458,264€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 4,209 winners, 15% fewer than the 4.9k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    61€1,043,309
    5+C3€46,667
    589€787
    44,209€24.95
    382,870€4.00
    R458,264€0.50