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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Monday, 15 July 2024

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 3
  3. 5
  4. 20
  5. 34
  6. 42
  7. 3
  8. 19

Jackpot€400,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 4,041 of 4,854 under them

← 2024-07-14All recent draws2024-07-16 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 3 5 20 34 42 + 3 1929 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 July 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

55oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 55 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 57% of every possible ticket.

  • sum9th
  • odd20th
  • low77th
  • widest gap50th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread67th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 495 of each

2495times
3479times
5483times
20509times
34

Prize breakdown · 2024-07-15

  • Lines in play≈ 4.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€721.3Kto 451k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 9lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.30

Where the money went

  • 524%€174.8K
  • 337%€268.8K
  • R26%€190.3K
  • 1 other tier12%€87.4K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10kPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.30 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

498times
42493times

Every number was expected about that many times after 4,040 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (3, 5, 20, 42) with the draw of 23 May 2015 — its closest relative in 4,040 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (14 July 2024): 2 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

106

The numbers add up to 106 — the 9th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 2–3. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

34 had not appeared for 24 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 42% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
0≈ 3.5 by chance
no winners
  • 560≈ 73 by chance€2,913
  • 43,440≈ 4.0k by chance€25.41
  • 367,198≈ 73k by chance€4.00
  • R380,627€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 3,440 winners, 14% fewer than the 4.0k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C0€0.00
    560€2,913
    43,440€25.41
    367,198€4.00
    R380,627€0.50