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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Friday, 12 July 2024

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 6
  2. 12
  3. 16
  4. 18
  5. 41
  6. 48
  7. 9
  8. 46

Jackpot€600,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 4,038 of 4,854 under them

← 2024-07-11All recent draws2024-07-13 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed6 12 16 18 41 48 + 9 4629 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 12 July 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

41oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 41 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 24% of every possible ticket.

  • sum39th
  • odd5th
  • low77th
  • widest gap91th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread78th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 494 of each

6479times
12478times
16510times
18508times
41

Prize breakdown · 2024-07-12

  • Lines in play≈ 5.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€938.9Kto 584k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 9lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.38

Where the money went

  • 5+C16%€152.8K
  • 337%€349.1K
  • R26%€246.0K
  • 2 other tiers20%€191.0K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.38 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

498times
48488times

Every number was expected about that many times after 4,037 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (6, 16, 41, 48) with the draw of 8 June 2024 — its closest relative in 4,037 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (11 July 2024): 6, 16, 48 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

141

The numbers add up to 141 — the 39th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

41 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 41% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
2≈ 4.6 by chance
€76,415
  • 592≈ 94 by chance€831
  • 44,840≈ 5.2k by chance€23.68
  • 387,277≈ 95k by chance€4.00
  • R491,945€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 87,277 winners, 8% fewer than the 95k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C2€76,415
    592€831
    44,840€23.68
    387,277€4.00
    R491,945€0.50