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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Friday, 5 July 2024

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 24
  2. 26
  3. 38
  4. 39
  5. 40
  6. 46
  7. 3
  8. 16

Jackpot€500,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 4,031 of 4,855 under them

← 2024-07-04All recent draws2024-07-06 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed24 26 38 39 40 46 + 3 1629 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 5 July 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

16oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 16 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 1% of every possible ticket.

  • sum97th
  • odd5th
  • low5th
  • widest gap26th
  • neighbours94th
  • spread5th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 493 of each

24505times
26478times
38475times
39505times
40

Prize breakdown · 2024-07-05

  • Lines in play≈ 4.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€891.0Kto 558k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 8lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.33

Where the money went

  • 5+C17%€155.6K
  • 334%€301.5K
  • R27%€239.4K
  • 2 other tiers22%€194.5K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.33 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

526times
46510times

Every number was expected about that many times after 4,030 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (24, 26, 38, 40) with the draw of 16 May 2016 — its closest relative in 4,030 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (4 July 2024): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

213

The numbers add up to 213 — the 97th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 38–39, 39–40. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

39 had not appeared for 10 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 52% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
4≈ 4.0 by chance
€38,902
  • 571≈ 82 by chance€1,096
  • 44,078≈ 4.5k by chance€28.62
  • 375,369≈ 82k by chance€4.00
  • R478,859€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 4,078 winners, 9% fewer than the 4.5k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C4€38,902
    571€1,096
    44,078€28.62
    375,369€4.00
    R478,859€0.50