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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Thursday, 16 May 2024

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 17
  3. 28
  4. 29
  5. 33
  6. 44
  7. 9
  8. 14

Jackpot€400,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 3,981 of 4,855 under them

← 2024-05-15All recent draws2024-05-17 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 17 28 29 33 44 + 9 1429 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 16 May 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

72oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 72 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 93% of every possible ticket.

  • sum54th
  • odd48th
  • low20th
  • widest gap50th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread78th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 487 of each

2490times
17461times
28486times
29433times
33

Prize breakdown · 2024-05-16

  • Lines in play≈ 4.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€800.5Kto 502k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 9lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.32

Where the money went

  • 5+C17%€133.0K
  • 336%€288.3K
  • R27%€213.0K
  • 2 other tiers21%€166.2K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.32 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

507times
44479times

Every number was expected about that many times after 3,980 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (17, 29, 33, 44) with the draw of 20 November 2022 — its closest relative in 3,980 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (15 May 2024): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

153

The numbers add up to 153 — the 53th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 28–29. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

17 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 43% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
2≈ 3.8 by chance
€66,494
  • 572≈ 78 by chance€924
  • 43,987≈ 4.3k by chance€25.02
  • 372,073≈ 78k by chance€4.00
  • R426,029€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 72,073 winners, 8% fewer than the 78k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C2€66,494
    572€924
    43,987€25.02
    372,073€4.00
    R426,029€0.50