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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Tuesday, 14 May 2024

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 20
  3. 23
  4. 33
  5. 45
  6. 47
  7. 2
  8. 32

Jackpot€3,200,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 3,979 of 4,858 under them

← 2024-05-13All recent draws2024-05-15 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 20 23 33 45 47 + 2 3229 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 14 May 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

61oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 61 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 71% of every possible ticket.

  • sum74th
  • odd77th
  • low48th
  • widest gap58th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread82th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 487 of each

4469times
20504times
23479times
33506times
45

Prize breakdown · 2024-05-14

  • Lines in play≈ 6.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€4.5Mto 698k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 9lines took a prize
  • 62 winnerschance said 0.44

Where the money went

  • 675%€3.4M
  • 38.9%€403.3K
  • R6.5%€295.8K
  • 3 other tiers9.2%€414K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. 62≈ 0.44 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

513times
47493times

Every number was expected about that many times after 3,978 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (4, 20, 23, 45) with the draw of 28 July 2021 — its closest relative in 3,978 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (13 May 2024): 23 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

172

The numbers add up to 172 — the 74th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

20 had not appeared for 7 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 48% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€1,702,238
  • 5+C4≈ 5.3 by chance€45,996
  • 5124≈ 109 by chance€742
  • 45,295≈ 6.0k by chance€26.06
  • 3100,822≈ 109k by chance€4.00
  • R591,606€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈6.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 5,295 winners, 12% fewer than the 6.0k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    62€1,702,238
    5+C4€45,996
    5124€742
    45,295€26.06
    3100,822€4.00
    R591,606€0.50