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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Thursday, 21 March 2024

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 5
  2. 8
  3. 17
  4. 18
  5. 31
  6. 40
  7. 3
  8. 47

Jackpot€400,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 3,925 of 4,857 under them

← 2024-03-20All recent draws2024-03-22 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed5 8 17 18 31 40 + 3 4729 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 March 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

65oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 65 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 81% of every possible ticket.

  • sum18th
  • odd48th
  • low77th
  • widest gap33th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread42th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 480 of each

5468times
8472times
17456times
18492times
31

Prize breakdown · 2024-03-21

  • Lines in play≈ 4.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€798Kto 497k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 9lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.32

Where the money went

  • 525%€196K
  • 337%€294.2K
  • R26%€209.7K
  • 1 other tier12%€98K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10kPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.32 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

487times
40514times

Every number was expected about that many times after 3,924 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (5, 8, 17, 40) with the draw of 17 July 2020 — its closest relative in 3,924 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (20 March 2024): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

119

The numbers add up to 119 — the 17th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 17–18. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

8 had not appeared for 10 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 40% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
0≈ 3.9 by chance
no winners
  • 580≈ 80 by chance€2,451
  • 43,967≈ 4.4k by chance€24.71
  • 373,540≈ 80k by chance€4.00
  • R419,436€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 3,967 winners, 9% fewer than the 4.4k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C0€0.00
    580€2,451
    43,967€24.71
    373,540€4.00
    R419,436€0.50