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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Friday, 15 March 2024

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 11
  2. 18
  3. 21
  4. 33
  5. 36
  6. 42
  7. 0
  8. 44

Jackpot€400,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 3,919 of 4,855 under them

← 2024-03-14All recent draws2024-03-16 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed11 18 21 33 36 42 + 0 4429 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 March 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

70oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 70 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 90% of every possible ticket.

  • sum63th
  • odd48th
  • low48th
  • widest gap26th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread25th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 480 of each

11464times
18491times
21486times
33496times
36

Prize breakdown · 2024-03-15

  • Lines in play≈ 5.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€900.0Kto 562k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 9lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.37

Where the money went

  • 5+C16%€145.7K
  • 337%€335.6K
  • R26%€236.5K
  • 2 other tiers20%€182.1K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.37 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

514times
42479times

Every number was expected about that many times after 3,918 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (18, 21, 36, 42) with the draw of 3 October 2023 — its closest relative in 3,918 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (14 March 2024): 18 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

161

The numbers add up to 161 — the 62th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

21 had not appeared for 50 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 46% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
3≈ 4.4 by chance
€48,566
  • 592≈ 91 by chance€792
  • 44,599≈ 5.0k by chance€23.76
  • 383,911≈ 91k by chance€4.00
  • R473,012€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 4,599 winners, 8% fewer than the 5.0k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C3€48,566
    592€792
    44,599€23.76
    383,911€4.00
    R473,012€0.50