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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Friday, 1 March 2024

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 8
  2. 9
  3. 16
  4. 18
  5. 41
  6. 48
  7. 8
  8. 23

Jackpot€600,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 3,905 of 4,858 under them

← 2024-02-29All recent draws2024-03-02 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed8 9 16 18 41 48 + 8 2329 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 1 March 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

51oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 51 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 47% of every possible ticket.

  • sum38th
  • odd20th
  • low77th
  • widest gap91th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread67th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 478 of each

8468times
9478times
16489times
18489times
41

Prize breakdown · 2024-03-01

  • Lines in play≈ 5.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.8Mto 618k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 9lines took a prize
  • 61 winnerchance said 0.39

Where the money went

  • 645%€815.2K
  • 320%€357K
  • R15%€261.7K
  • 3 other tiers20%€365.1K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 61≈ 0.39 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

480times
48467times

Every number was expected about that many times after 3,904 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (8, 18, 41, 48) with the draw of 15 February 2024 — its closest relative in 3,904 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (29 February 2024): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

140

The numbers add up to 140 — the 38th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 8–9. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

18 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 40% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€815,215
  • 5+C2≈ 4.7 by chance€81,135
  • 569≈ 97 by chance€1,176
  • 44,874≈ 5.3k by chance€24.97
  • 389,258≈ 97k by chance€4.00
  • R523,468€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 4,874 winners, 8% fewer than the 5.3k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    61€815,215
    5+C2€81,135
    569€1,176
    44,874€24.97
    389,258€4.00
    R523,468€0.50