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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Wednesday, 28 February 2024

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 5
  3. 6
  4. 16
  5. 28
  6. 30
  7. 6
  8. 46

Jackpot€600,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 3,903 of 4,858 under them

← 2024-02-27All recent draws2024-02-29 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 5 6 16 28 30 + 6 4629 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 28 February 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

40oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 40 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 22% of every possible ticket.

  • sum2th
  • odd20th
  • low77th
  • widest gap26th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread19th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 478 of each

1481times
5466times
6463times
16488times
28

Prize breakdown · 2024-02-28

  • Lines in play≈ 5.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.7Mto 572k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 10lines took a prize
  • 62 winnerschance said 0.40

Where the money went

  • 644%€737.3K
  • 322%€364.8K
  • R14%€237.7K
  • 3 other tiers19%€319.4K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 62≈ 0.40 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

479times
30470times

Every number was expected about that many times after 3,902 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 5 of 6 numbers (1, 5, 6, 28, 30) with the draw of 9 September 2021 — its closest relative in 3,902 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 7.0% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (27 February 2024): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

86

The numbers add up to 86 — the 2th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 5–6. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

30 had not appeared for 17 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.7× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 27% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€368,669
  • 5+C2≈ 4.8 by chance€70,982
  • 5117≈ 99 by chance€607
  • 45,421≈ 5.4k by chance€19.64
  • 391,198≈ 99k by chance€4.00
  • R475,478€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 91,198 winners, 8% fewer than the 99k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    62€368,669
    5+C2€70,982
    5117€607
    45,421€19.64
    391,198€4.00
    R475,478€0.50