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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Thursday, 22 February 2024

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 5
  2. 8
  3. 11
  4. 19
  5. 44
  6. 45
  7. 4
  8. 9

Jackpot€400,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 3,897 of 4,858 under them

← 2024-02-21All recent draws2024-02-23 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed5 8 11 19 44 45 + 4 929 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 22 February 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

48oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 48 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 39% of every possible ticket.

  • sum30th
  • odd77th
  • low77th
  • widest gap94th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread67th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 477 of each

5465times
8467times
11460times
19473times
44

Prize breakdown · 2024-02-22

  • Lines in play≈ 5.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.2Mto 513k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 10lines took a prize
  • 61 winnerchance said 0.35

Where the money went

  • 630%€351.4K
  • 327%€321.8K
  • R18%€213.9K
  • 3 other tiers24%€287.5K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 61≈ 0.35 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

467times
45503times

Every number was expected about that many times after 3,896 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (8, 11, 19, 45) with the draw of 15 August 2019 — its closest relative in 3,896 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (21 February 2024): 19 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

132

The numbers add up to 132 — the 29th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 44–45. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

11 had not appeared for 31 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 39% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€351,378
  • 5+C1≈ 4.2 by chance€127,774
  • 595≈ 87 by chance€672
  • 44,352≈ 4.8k by chance€22.02
  • 380,460≈ 87k by chance€4.00
  • R427,713€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 4,352 winners, 9% fewer than the 4.8k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    61€351,378
    5+C1€127,774
    595€672
    44,352€22.02
    380,460€4.00
    R427,713€0.50