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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Saturday, 10 February 2024

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 5
  3. 12
  4. 22
  5. 23
  6. 28
  7. 7
  8. 47

Jackpot€400,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 3,885 of 4,859 under them

← 2024-02-09All recent draws2024-02-11 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 5 12 22 23 28 + 7 4729 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 10 February 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

38oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 38 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 19% of every possible ticket.

  • sum4th
  • odd48th
  • low94th
  • widest gap13th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread14th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 476 of each

1479times
5462times
12461times
22476times
23

Prize breakdown · 2024-02-10

  • Lines in play≈ 5.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.2Mto 529k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 10lines took a prize
  • 61 winnerchance said 0.39

Where the money went

  • 629%€343K
  • 330%€354.4K
  • R18%€217.6K
  • 3 other tiers23%€280.6K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 61≈ 0.39 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

467times
28475times

Every number was expected about that many times after 3,884 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (1, 5, 12, 23) with the draw of 25 June 2019 — its closest relative in 3,884 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (9 February 2024): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

91

The numbers add up to 91 — the 3th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 22–23. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

12 had not appeared for 19 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.8× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 26% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€343,003
  • 5+C1≈ 4.7 by chance€124,729
  • 5103≈ 96 by chance€605
  • 45,142≈ 5.3k by chance€18.19
  • 388,604≈ 96k by chance€4.00
  • R435,257€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 88,604 winners, 8% fewer than the 96k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    61€343,003
    5+C1€124,729
    5103€605
    45,142€18.19
    388,604€4.00
    R435,257€0.50