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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Monday, 5 February 2024

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 10
  2. 20
  3. 28
  4. 29
  5. 30
  6. 34
  7. 8
  8. 44

Jackpot€1,400,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 3,880 of 4,858 under them

← 2024-02-04All recent draws2024-02-06 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed10 20 28 29 30 34 + 8 4429 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 5 February 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

33oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 33 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 12% of every possible ticket.

  • sum51th
  • odd5th
  • low20th
  • widest gap13th
  • neighbours94th
  • spread8th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 475 of each

10507times
20494times
28474times
29427times
30

Prize breakdown · 2024-02-05

  • Lines in play≈ 5.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€944.9Kto 592k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 9lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.38

Where the money went

  • 5+C16%€155.3K
  • 337%€345.1K
  • R27%€250.4K
  • 2 other tiers21%€194.1K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.38 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

468times
34476times

Every number was expected about that many times after 3,879 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (10, 20, 28, 30) with the draw of 12 September 2023 — its closest relative in 3,879 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (4 February 2024): 34 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

151

The numbers add up to 151 — the 51th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 28–29, 29–30. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

28 had not appeared for 23 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 46% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
3≈ 4.6 by chance
€51,753
  • 585≈ 93 by chance€913
  • 44,642≈ 5.1k by chance€25.08
  • 386,286≈ 94k by chance€4.00
  • R500,874€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 4,642 winners, 10% fewer than the 5.1k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C3€51,753
    585€913
    44,642€25.08
    386,286€4.00
    R500,874€0.50