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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Thursday, 1 February 2024

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 7
  2. 10
  3. 14
  4. 38
  5. 43
  6. 47
  7. 9
  8. 30

Jackpot€1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 3,876 of 4,858 under them

← 2024-01-31All recent draws2024-02-02 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed7 10 14 38 43 47 + 9 3029 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 1 February 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

67oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 67 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 85% of every possible ticket.

  • sum61th
  • odd48th
  • low48th
  • widest gap93th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread67th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 474 of each

7439times
10504times
14460times
38457times
43

Prize breakdown · 2024-02-01

  • Lines in play≈ 5.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.2Mto 608k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 9lines took a prize
  • 63 winnerschance said 0.40

Where the money went

  • 656%€1.2M
  • 316%€363.4K
  • R12%€255.9K
  • 3 other tiers16%€357.8K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 63≈ 0.40 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

439times
47479times

Every number was expected about that many times after 3,875 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (7, 14, 43, 47) with the draw of 14 January 2021 — its closest relative in 3,875 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (31 January 2024): 14, 43 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

159

The numbers add up to 159 — the 60th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

38 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 40% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€413,670
  • 5+C2≈ 4.8 by chance€79,509
  • 596≈ 98 by chance€828
  • 44,889≈ 5.4k by chance€24.39
  • 390,860≈ 99k by chance€4.00
  • R511,892€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 4,889 winners, 10% fewer than the 5.4k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    63€413,670
    5+C2€79,509
    596€828
    44,889€24.39
    390,860€4.00
    R511,892€0.50