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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Monday, 22 January 2024

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 11
  2. 12
  3. 16
  4. 24
  5. 31
  6. 46
  7. 2
  8. 34

Jackpot€400,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 3,866 of 4,857 under them

← 2024-01-21All recent draws2024-01-23 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed11 12 16 24 31 46 + 2 3429 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 22 January 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

68oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 68 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 86% of every possible ticket.

  • sum38th
  • odd20th
  • low77th
  • widest gap50th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread42th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 473 of each

11459times
12460times
16478times
24483times
31

Prize breakdown · 2024-01-22

  • Lines in play≈ 4.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.1Mto 476k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 9lines took a prize
  • 61 winnerchance said 0.32

Where the money went

  • 631%€338.4K
  • 326%€288K
  • R18%€199.9K
  • 3 other tiers25%€276.9K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 61≈ 0.32 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

475times
46487times

Every number was expected about that many times after 3,865 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (11, 16, 31, 46) with the draw of 27 August 2023 — its closest relative in 3,865 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (21 January 2024): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

140

The numbers add up to 140 — the 38th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 11–12. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

46 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 38% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€338,396
  • 5+C1≈ 3.8 by chance€123,053
  • 588≈ 78 by chance€699
  • 44,078≈ 4.3k by chance€22.63
  • 371,989≈ 78k by chance€4.00
  • R399,795€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 71,989 winners, 8% fewer than the 78k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    61€338,396
    5+C1€123,053
    588€699
    44,078€22.63
    371,989€4.00
    R399,795€0.50