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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Sunday, 31 December 2023

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 7
  3. 11
  4. 19
  5. 21
  6. 23
  7. 5
  8. 28

Jackpot€600,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 3,844 of 4,855 under them

← 2023-12-30All recent draws2024-01-01 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 7 11 19 21 23 + 5 2829 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 31 December 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

14oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 14 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 1% of every possible ticket.

  • sum2th
  • odd94th
  • low99th
  • widest gap5th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread4th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 471 of each

2469times
7435times
11455times
19466times
21

Prize breakdown · 2023-12-31

  • Lines in play≈ 5.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€831.8Kto 511k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 11lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.42

Where the money went

  • 5+C13%€109.7K
  • 346%€379.8K
  • R25%€205.1K
  • 2 other tiers16%€137.2K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.42 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

483times
23460times

Every number was expected about that many times after 3,843 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (11, 19, 21, 23) with the draw of 6 July 2019 — its closest relative in 3,843 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (30 December 2023): 11 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

83

The numbers add up to 83 — the 2th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

2 had not appeared for 40 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 21% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
6≈ 5.0 by chance
€18,290
  • 5130≈ 103 by chance€422
  • 46,129≈ 5.7k by chance€13.43
  • 394,940≈ 103k by chance€4.00
  • R410,175€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 6,129 winners, 8% more than the 5.7k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C6€18,290
    5130€422
    46,129€13.43
    394,940€4.00
    R410,175€0.50