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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Thursday, 28 December 2023

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 6
  2. 14
  3. 15
  4. 16
  5. 20
  6. 40
  7. 9
  8. 28

Jackpot€1,200,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 3,841 of 4,855 under them

← 2023-12-27All recent draws2023-12-29 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed6 14 15 16 20 40 + 9 2829 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 28 December 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

28oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 28 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 7% of every possible ticket.

  • sum12th
  • odd5th
  • low94th
  • widest gap81th
  • neighbours94th
  • spread37th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 470 of each

6452times
14456times
15465times
16474times
20

Prize breakdown · 2023-12-28

  • Lines in play≈ 5.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.3Mto 615k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 9lines took a prize
  • 61 winnerchance said 0.39

Where the money went

  • 658%€1.3M
  • 315%€358.2K
  • R11%€260.1K
  • 3 other tiers16%€365.3K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. 61≈ 0.39 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

489times
40504times

Every number was expected about that many times after 3,840 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (14, 16, 20, 40) with the draw of 6 September 2019 — its closest relative in 3,840 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (27 December 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

111

The numbers add up to 111 — the 12th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 14–15, 15–16. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

14 had not appeared for 19 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 44% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€1,345,347
  • 5+C3≈ 4.7 by chance€54,117
  • 5105≈ 97 by chance€773
  • 44,859≈ 5.3k by chance€25.06
  • 389,551≈ 97k by chance€4.00
  • R520,292€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 4,859 winners, 9% fewer than the 5.3k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    61€1,345,347
    5+C3€54,117
    5105€773
    44,859€25.06
    389,551€4.00
    R520,292€0.50