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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Tuesday, 26 December 2023

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 13
  2. 25
  3. 30
  4. 39
  5. 43
  6. 49
  7. 9
  8. 10

Jackpot€200,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 3,839 of 4,855 under them

← 2023-12-25All recent draws2023-12-27 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed13 25 30 39 43 49 + 9 1029 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 26 December 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

43oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 43 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 28% of every possible ticket.

  • sum93th
  • odd94th
  • low20th
  • widest gap26th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread47th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 470 of each

13469times
25480times
30464times
39483times
43

Prize breakdown · 2023-12-26

  • Lines in play≈ 4.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€783.8Kto 489k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 9lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.32

Where the money went

  • 5+C16%€126.5K
  • 337%€293.0K
  • R26%€206.1K
  • 2 other tiers20%€158.1K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.32 by chanceno winners

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

431times
49478times

Every number was expected about that many times after 3,838 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (13, 39, 43, 49) with the draw of 17 December 2019 — its closest relative in 3,838 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (25 December 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

199

The numbers add up to 199 — the 93th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

25 had not appeared for 38 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 42% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
  • 5+C1≈ 3.9 by chance€126,526
  • 559≈ 79 by chance€1,072
  • 43,865≈ 4.4k by chance€24.55
  • 373,256≈ 80k by chance€4.00
  • R412,268€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 3,865 winners, 11% fewer than the 4.4k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C1€126,526
    559€1,072
    43,865€24.55
    373,256€4.00
    R412,268€0.50