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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Friday, 17 November 2023

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 17
  2. 25
  3. 28
  4. 31
  5. 44
  6. 47
  7. 0
  8. 37

Jackpot€1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 3,800 of 4,855 under them

← 2023-11-16All recent draws2023-11-18 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed17 25 28 31 44 47 + 0 3729 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 17 November 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

45oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 45 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 31% of every possible ticket.

  • sum90th
  • odd77th
  • low20th
  • widest gap33th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread22th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 465 of each

17440times
25478times
28468times
31469times
44

Prize breakdown · 2023-11-17

  • Lines in play≈ 5.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€998.6Kto 627k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 9lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.39

Where the money went

  • 5+C17%€166.1K
  • 336%€358.4K
  • R27%€266.4K
  • 2 other tiers21%€207.7K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.39 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

454times
47469times

Every number was expected about that many times after 3,799 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (17, 28, 44, 47) with the draw of 19 May 2022 — its closest relative in 3,799 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (16 November 2023): 17, 47 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

192

The numbers add up to 192 — the 89th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

31 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 44% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
4≈ 4.7 by chance
€41,536
  • 591≈ 97 by chance€913
  • 44,911≈ 5.3k by chance€25.37
  • 389,608≈ 97k by chance€4.00
  • R532,798€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 4,911 winners, 8% fewer than the 5.3k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C4€41,536
    591€913
    44,911€25.37
    389,608€4.00
    R532,798€0.50