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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Tuesday, 14 November 2023

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 15
  3. 21
  4. 26
  5. 30
  6. 43
  7. 7
  8. 34

Jackpot€3,500,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 3,797 of 4,858 under them

← 2023-11-13All recent draws2023-11-15 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 15 21 26 30 43 + 7 3429 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 14 November 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

66oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 66 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 84% of every possible ticket.

  • sum36th
  • odd77th
  • low48th
  • widest gap33th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread67th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 465 of each

3456times
15458times
21477times
26454times
30

Prize breakdown · 2023-11-14

  • Lines in play≈ 7.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€4.9Mto 729k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 10lines took a prize
  • 62 winnerschance said 0.51

Where the money went

  • 676%€3.8M
  • 39.3%€460.6K
  • R6.2%€303.6K
  • 3 other tiers8.3%€408.7K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. 62≈ 0.51 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

460times
43422times

Every number was expected about that many times after 3,796 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (3, 15, 30) with the draw of 17 September 2023 — its closest relative in 3,796 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (13 November 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

138

The numbers add up to 138 — the 35th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

3 had not appeared for 28 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 41% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€1,881,432
  • 5+C1≈ 6.1 by chance€181,649
  • 5119≈ 125 by chance€763
  • 46,701≈ 6.9k by chance€20.33
  • 3115,151≈ 125k by chance€4.00
  • R607,229€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈7.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 115,151 winners, 8% fewer than the 125k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    62€1,881,432
    5+C1€181,649
    5119€763
    46,701€20.33
    3115,151€4.00
    R607,229€0.50